Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 198.733907 230.552574 267.037679 312.235986 367.092209 431.980046 515.236172
2025-08-31 154.197115 193.599937 243.439359 312.103287 405.833010 531.683959 717.612446
2025-09-07 131.454609 174.253042 232.224089 318.450177 446.942473 637.277271 952.527034
2025-09-14 110.622251 152.471308 212.050088 305.868607 455.361983 694.594639 1129.551809
2025-09-21 98.299697 140.170975 202.450039 305.665243 480.536665 781.434298 1380.229076
2025-09-28 89.215254 131.061774 195.759843 308.025743 509.228483 879.802717 1684.562386
2025-10-05 85.192280 128.979099 199.402784 327.566180 571.315648 1054.524825 2211.345655
2025-10-12 81.400502 126.641080 202.068563 345.529674 634.103518 1248.325882 2869.213772
2025-10-19 74.909062 118.994014 194.559123 343.315795 656.146814 1361.478565 3380.497918
2025-10-26 71.025920 115.297760 193.417042 352.918566 704.789473 1549.928659 4202.086277
2025-11-02 66.777334 110.464425 189.534390 356.280894 740.304787 1717.720567 5063.295124
2025-11-09 63.168721 106.381900 186.512599 360.849099 779.610384 1908.846186 6134.608657
2025-11-16 58.779926 100.827003 180.771230 360.458384 811.739978 2107.020935 7460.575451
2025-11-23 54.814027 95.715256 175.402363 360.355890 846.042615 2331.795692 9152.496733
2025-11-30 52.024785 92.540227 173.511618 367.921768 903.411407 2659.838037 11744.779757
2025-12-07 47.573400 85.644225 163.004492 352.935349 893.023288 2750.570016 13199.494203
2025-12-14 44.822461 81.881911 158.734979 352.693311 926.636682 3023.336178 16191.258290
2025-12-21 42.577630 78.925609 155.856601 355.503178 970.895571 3365.404165 20315.781851
2025-12-28 41.964698 79.280401 160.393321 378.794835 1089.906413 4107.551655 29493.818354
2026-01-04 41.196460 79.218687 163.959792 400.254650 1211.442156 4963.516700 42816.591023
2026-01-11 39.009137 75.873428 159.375609 397.607461 1244.683062 5398.964852 53119.251762
2026-01-18 37.797037 74.565086 159.549234 409.094541 1337.028398 6248.470675 73633.481803
2026-01-25 36.269485 72.410743 157.386568 413.119583 1401.631375 6999.279963 97682.625756